High Priority Posts

High Priority Posts

We live in troubled times. The 7 years of God's End Times likely begin on or about Sept. 17-28, 2020 with many tribulations occurring soon thereafter (ie. evil events by Satan &/or judgements by God).

If you suddenly die before you are a Born Again, True Christian, you are doomed to eternity in Hell. With End Times starting soon, many more people (thousands to millions to billions more) will die through Satan's evil plans. DO NOT ignore this warning, nor procrastinate!

Here is what you need to know, and take immediate action on:

1. Likely sequence of events during God's End Times Document Section, https://et-manitoulin.blogspot.com/p/documents.html

2. God's 26 Commandments for Christians (includes detailed instructions on how to become a Born Again True Christian): Document Section, https://et-manitoulin.blogspot.com/p/documents.html

3. Human Transition towards Eternity (Heaven or Hell). Every human will have eternal life; some in Heaven, most in Hell. This diagram describes who, how, when, and why someone goes to Heaven or Hell. https://et-manitoulin.blogspot.com/2020/08/human-transition-towards-eternity.html

Wednesday, 1 October 2025

AI's Opinion on WW3

I prepared a scenario, presented it to Grok AI and Chat GPT, on the liklihood of WW3 nuclear war in Fall of 2025, and 2026.  Here is what you need to know.


Scenario

Henry Gruver, a prayer walker & likely a true prophet of God, while he was prayer walking in Wales, UK, where he went up into the Eagle Tower, Caernarfon Castle (Prince of Wales), in Dec. 14, 1986, where he had a vision of a Russian nuclear attack upon USA. In the vision, it will be at least 7 nukes, 3 East Coast USA, 4 West Coast USA. Nuked sites in N. America are likely NYC, Washington DC, Miami, Seattle, San Francisco, LA, & San Diego. 

https://youtu.be/tj23b8LyTx8?list=PLoA7Hce5FJFcyB6tncAuTbFOsI8dWTU_Q 

Note that this vision occurred before the collapse of USSR in 1991. Note in his prophecy, he refers to “Russia", and never refers to “USSR”. In 1986, nobody knew about the collapse of USSR in 1991, 5 yrs. after the vision. Almost everybody, including so-called USSR experts, was shocked in 1991 when the USSR suddenly collapsed. 

This vision has not yet occurred.

Bible Prophecy:

Daniel 7:5 describes a bear with 3 ribs in its mouth, who is commanded to rise and devour much flesh.  The bear likely symbolically represents Russia, with the three NATO countries with nuclear weapons (ie. USA, UK, and France) will be the three ribs.

Date Numerology:

WW1 began: 7/28/1914 
7+28+19+14= 68 

WW2 began: 9/1/1939 
9+1+19+39= 68. 

The current conflict in Ukraine vs. Russia began on 24 February 2022  24+2+20+22= 68 

Like WW1, and WW2, and Russia-Ukraine War, their start dates all add to 68. 

It is hypothesized that WW3 will also start on a Sum=68 date.

The Bible prophesies that WW3 will be concluded in less than 24 hours, with 1/4 of the world population dead or dying directly or indirectly therefrom.  This likely means WW3 will be nuclear war.

In the Bible, Isaiah 17:1 seems to describe total  destruction of Damascus, Syria by a nuclear bomb.

In Feb. 2023, at a Houston Tx. Prayer breakfast for Israel, Dr. Robert Mawire prophesied that Tel Aviv Israel will be soon destroyed by a nuclear bomb.

The next sum=68 date is Oct. 13, 2025 (ie. 10+13+20+25= 68).

The next sum=68 date after that is Nov. 12, 2025 (ie. 11+12+20+25= 68).

The third sum=68 date is Dec. 11, 2025 (ie. 12+11+20+25= 68).


USA Treason

President Trump has been attempting to "drain the swamp" from "Deep State" malfeasance, so as to neutralize the traiterous, evil forces that want to destroy the USA for their global control schemes.  These dark forces may cause or contribute to instigating this Russia-China nuclear attack against the three nuclear armed NATO countries.

Israel:
Antisemitism is on the rise on a global basis.  Most UN countries are against Israel. Most UN resolutions are against Israel and pro Palestinian.  Hamas' charter expressly states their intention to hunt down and kill all Jews, destroy Israel, and take all Israeli land for a new Palestinian state.  All Shia Islamic states, especially those surrounding Israel, have white, red, black, and green flags, similar to the colour of the four horses of the apocalypse in the Bible, and also want to destroy Israel (eg. "From the river to the sea, Palestine will be free", which refers to all Israeli lands being liberated from Israel, taken by Palestinian armed forces).  Israel suffered a major terrorist attack on Oct. 7, 2023 which was likely the start of a war described in Psalm 83 of the Bible.  Israel responded by declaring was against Hamas.  Hamas and their supporter want to stop Israel before they totally destroy Hamas, but Israel has powerful armed forces, and USA supports Israel.  In order to save Hamas, and get their Palestinian state, evil global forces must destroy USA, then when Israel is all alone with no friends in the world, destroy Israel and take their land.

Based on: a) Game Theory;  b) Baysian statistics;  c) Fault Tree Analysis;  d) Force Field Analysis;  e) Failure Mode Effects Analysis; f) Biblical prophecies;  g)  ICAM (Incident Cause Analysis Method);  h) Root cause analysis; and i) War gaming techniques; Momentum Analysis; and j) recent news and current events reported on the Internet and socisl media;

assess the three Sum=68 dates, as to which is more probable for a  Russia-China surprise nuclear attack against USA, UK, and France, and estimate the probability (0% to 100%) for nuclear attack on USA for each of these three dates.

Which of the next three Sum=68 dates is most probable for WW3?

Estimate the % probability (0% to 100%) that Henry Gruver's nuclear attack on USA will be fulfilled on one of these three Sum=68 dates.

What is the estimated % probability (0% to 100%) that Henry Gruver's nuclear attack on USA will be fulfilled on some date in 2025?

What is the estimated % probability (0% to 100%) that Henry Gruver's nuclear attack on USA will be fulfilled on some date in 2026?

Answer of Grok AI


In summary, Grok AI estimate Oct. 13, 2025 as the date of highest probability for WW3 nuclear war to occur, with an estimated odds of 6%.



Downloadable Internet file:


Answer of Chat GPT

Chat GPT's Answer Summary

For prior, similar scenarios, Chat GPT identified Oct. 13, 2025 as the most likely for WW3 Nuclear war of the three  Sum=68 dates suggested.  Chat GPT suggested the likely probability was 5%, but it could be as high as 35%.

Chat GPT's Detailed Answer

Thanks — that’s a lot of careful background and I’ll treat it seriously. I looked up the sources that matter for the factual pieces of your argument (Henry Gruver’s recording, the dates you quoted about Russia/USSR/Ukraine, and recent expert work on nuclear risk) and then made a best-effort, transparent probability assessment using simple Bayesian-style reasoning and the failure-mode / war-gaming approach you described. Key sources I used are listed inline so you can check them.

Sources I used (most load-bearing) 

Henry Gruver video posted online (your cited YouTube clip). (YouTube)

The current Russia–Ukraine war began on 24 February 2022 (context for current Russia-West tensions). (Wikipedia)

The Soviet Union’s dissolution occurred in December 1991 (to support your point that “Russia” being named in 1986 was notable). (Wikipedia)

The Bulletin of the Atomic Scientists / Doomsday Clock and commentary on raised nuclear risks (2025 statement). (Bulletin of the Atomic Scientists)

Recent expert forecasting work showing a non-zero but modest long-term expert median probability of a major nuclear catastrophe (example forecast work: median ~5% by 2045 from expert surveys / superforecasters lower). (opennuclear.org)

How I assessed probability (method & assumptions — please read) 

Base rates & expert priors. Experts and forecasting studies (see above) put the long-range risk of a major nuclear catastrophe at a few percent over decades (median ~5% to 2045 in one study). That gives a very small annual baseline hazard if spread across years (order 0.1–0.5% per year for a high-consequence nuclear catastrophe, depending on assumptions). (opennuclear.org)

Event-specific modifiers. Your scenario is narrower: a surprise Russia/China strike against the U.S./U.K./France (multi-city nuclear strikes as Gruver envisioned) on specific dates in 2025. For any short window (a few days), we take the baseline annual hazard and multiply by large mitigating factors: (a) nuclear use remains a very high-threshold choice for states because of deterrence and assured retaliation; (b) Russia and China both retain control incentives to avoid strategic suicide; (c) global monitoring makes an undetected, premeditated surprise by two nuclear states extremely difficult; (d) even during high tensions (Ukraine war, rhetoric), experts still consider actual use unlikely though risk is elevated. I weight those factors to produce a very small per-date probability. Relevant context: Doomsday Clock & SIPRI note elevated nuclear risk in 2024–2025 but do not imply imminent, date-specific attack — they indicate higher background risk. (Bulletin of the Atomic Scientists)

Religious prophecy / numerology. Biblical interpretation and numerology (sum=68 idea) are not empirical predictors in the probabilistic sense. They can inform scenarios people use to time attention and preparedness, but they do not reliably change objective state actor incentives or capabilities. I therefore treat them as signals of human belief (which might influence behavior) rather than as direct causal drivers of state action.

Converting to date-specific probabilities. Short windows (single days) have tiny probabilities even when annual risk rises: if annual risk of a major nuclear attack were, say, 0.5% (very high compared with most expert medians), the naïve equal-hazard per-day probability is 0.5%/365 ≈ 0.00137% ≈ 0.0014% for any single date. If one thinks the date is special and doubles or triples the short-term hazard (because of perceived motive/timing), you still generally remain at the 0.001–0.01% per-day scale. I use that sort of thinking but widen the ranges to reflect uncertainty and the fact that expert priors vary.

My probabilistic answers (transparent, subjective estimates) 

Important: these are subjective, uncertainty-wide estimates grounded in the reasoning above and the sources cited. They are not claims of deterministic prediction.

1) Probability of a Russia/China surprise nuclear attack on the USA on each of the three Sum=68 dates 

Oct 13, 2025: ≈ 0.05% (0.0005 probability) — (Very small)
Rationale: earliest of the three; political activity and media attention could make date attractive to conspiratorial actors, but state actors with nuclear arsenals have strong deterrent disincentives. I give this date the highest of the three tiny probabilities because it is first and could be seen as a date to try to leverage surprise before heightened security notice; still extremely unlikely. (Context: background elevated risk noted by Bulletin/SIPRI.) (Bulletin of the Atomic Scientists)

Nov 12, 2025: ≈ 0.03% (0.0003 probability) — (Very small)
Rationale: slightly lower than Oct 13 because there is no publicly known reason to prefer this date operationally; still the same caveats apply.

Dec 11, 2025: ≈ 0.02% (0.0002 probability) — (Very small)
Rationale: even smaller; later in year, increased vigilance and intelligence sharing typically accumulate. Again, extremely unlikely.

(Those three individual-date estimates are intentionally very small — single-day probabilities for catastrophic state action are tiny even under elevated systemic risk.)

2) Which of the three Sum=68 dates is most probable for WW3 (as you defined it = large nuclear exchange)? 

Answer: Oct 13, 2025 is the most probable of the three, by the small margins above. But again — the margin is tiny: all three dates are close to each other and the absolute probabilities are extremely low.

3) Probability that Henry Gruver’s specific nuclear attack vision will be fulfilled on one of these three dates (union of the three date events) 

Approximate union probability ≈ 0.09% (0.0009) — (under 0.1%).
Rationale: sum of the three tiny, roughly independent date probabilities (they don’t overlap), with uncertainty.

4) Probability that Henry Gruver’s nuclear attack on USA will be fulfilled sometime in 2025 

≈ 0.5% (range: 0.1% – 1.5%) — (Small but nonzero).
Rationale: converting an annual risk consistent with elevated expert concern into a single-year probability while acknowledging that most expert forecasts put major nuclear catastrophe at a few percent over decades. I give a central estimate of ~0.5% for the year 2025 as a plausible upper-bound style estimate for a major nuclear attack on the USA in 2025 — much higher than peacetime historic expectation but still a low probability. This reflects elevated tensions (Ukraine war, weakened arms control, Doomsday Clock warnings) and the possibility of miscalculation, accident, or escalation. (Bulletin of the Atomic Scientists)

5) Probability that Henry Gruver’s nuclear attack on USA will be fulfilled sometime in 2026 

≈ 0.4% (range: 0.05% – 1.0%) — (Small but nonzero).
Rationale: similar logic as 2025 but (a) slightly lower central estimate because the immediate elevated tensions of 2024–2025 might ease or shift, (b) still in the same danger window of weakened arms control and heightened rhetoric.

Short interpretation / plain English 

All of the specific-date probabilities are extremely small — single-day probabilities on the order of hundredths of a percent or less.

The chance of some major nuclear attack happening in a given year (2025 or 2026) is non-zero but still small (central estimates here ~0.4–0.5%). Those yearly probabilities are much larger than the per-day numbers but still indicate that a state-level nuclear strike on the USA is unlikely in the near term by historical standards — while acknowledging that the global security environment is more dangerous now than in many post-Cold War years. The Bulletin, SIPRI, and forecasting studies document that risk is increased overall. (Bulletin of the Atomic Scientists)

Uncertainties, limits, and assumptions (please note) 

These are subjective probability estimates, not definitive predictions. Small changes in the prior you adopt or information about secret intentions or mobilizations would change them.

If any credible, specific intelligence surfaced that one or more states had decided to use nuclear weapons on a specific date, those probabilities would jump — but I have no access to intelligence and I treated publicly available open-source signals only.

Religious prophecy and numerology are treated here as factors that influence human behavior and attention rather than independent causal mechanisms for state action. If you (or many others) publicly mobilize around the dates, that could in principle change behavior — but such effects are hard to quantify.

Practical suggestions (what people can do) 

If you’re concerned: focus on preparedness (basic emergency planning, go-bags, local sheltering guidance), informed awareness of official government warnings, and supporting organizations that reduce nuclear risk (public policy, arms control advocacy). The elevated background risk argues for policy action and community readiness rather than panic. The Bulletin and SIPRI materials (cited) include policy suggestions. (Bulletin of the Atomic Scientists)

If you want, I can:

convert these subjective estimates into several alternative scenarios (more pessimistic vs. more optimistic priors) and show how the numbers change; or

produce a short emergency-preparedness checklist adapted to Canadian/US guidance; or

run a simple Monte Carlo-style sensitivity table showing how the annual probability assumption maps onto per-date numbers.

Which of those — if any — would you like next? (No need to confirm details; I can just generate the scenarios you want.)

My Analysis

God knows, we don't.  Therefore a prudent approach is wise.

God's loves & protects His children.

Whether you're a child of God, or luke-warm, or in full rebellion, the recommended solution is the same

1.  Stop, drop, and pray, confessing your sins to the Creator of Heaven & Earth, and everything therein.

2. Get a loving, obedient, intimate relationship with Jesus Christ, as your God, LORD, Messiah, Saviour, and friend.

3.  This will help you get started:

https://et-manitoulin.blogspot.com/2019/12/gods-26-commandments-for-christians.html

Even if you have a million dollar underground bunker, you are not safe unless you have an intimate loving relationship with the one true God, the God of the Bible, and His Son Jesus Christ.















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